Bears beware. The New Deal      of 2008 is in the works. The US Treasury is about to shower      households with rebate cheques to head off a full-blown slump,      and save the Bush presidency. On Friday, Mr Bush convened the      so-called Plunge Protection Team for its first known meeting in      the Oval Office. The black arts unit - officially the      President's Working Group on Financial Markets - was created      after the 1987 crash.
  
     It appears to have powers to support the markets in a crisis      with a host of instruments, mostly by through buying futures      contracts on the stock indexes (DOW, S&P 500, NASDAQ and      Russell) and key credit levers. And it has the means to fry      "short" traders in the hottest of oils.
     
     The team is led by Treasury chief Hank Paulson, ex-Goldman      Sachs, a man with a nose for market psychology, and includes Fed      chairman Ben Bernanke and the key exchange regulators.
  
     Judging by a well-briefed report in the Washington Post, a mood      of deep alarm has taken hold in the upper echelons of the      administration. "What everyone's looking at is what is the      fastest way to get money out there," said a Bush aide.
  
     Emergency measures are now clearly on the agenda, apparently      consisting of a mix of tax cuts for businesses and bungs for      consumers. Fiscal action all too appropriate, regrettably.
  
     We face a version of Keynes's "extreme liquidity preference" in      the 1930s - banks are hoarding money, and the main credit      arteries of the financial system remain blocked after five      months.
  
     "In terms of any stimulus package, we're considering all      options," said Mr Bush. This should be interesting to watch. The      president is not one for half measures. He has already shown in      Iraq and on biofuels that he will pursue policies a l'outrance      once he gets the bit between his teeth.
  
     The only question is what the president can manage to push      through a Democrat Congress.
  
     The Plunge Protection Team - long kept secret - was last      mobilised to calm the markets after 9/11. It then went into      hibernation during the long boom.
  
     Mr Paulson reactivated it last year, asking the staff to examine      "systemic risk posed by hedge funds and derivatives, and the      government's ability to respond to a financial crisis", he said.
  
     It seems he failed to spot the immediate threat from mortgage      securities and the implosion of the commercial paper market. But      never mind.
Got to build false consumer confidence and keep that credit flowing to prop up the smoke and mirrors economy. Convincing consumers who are already up to their eyeballs in debt to spend more..on credit of course...is the economic "strategy" of the times apparently. 
U.S. Constitution - R.I.P.
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
Bush convenes Plunge Protection Team
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